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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

Bond Yields: Two Pictures

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Over 5.2%:

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This entry was posted on September 28, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Guest Contribution: “Oligarchy is a Symptom, Not the Cause”

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Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. A shorter version was published in Project Syndicate. 

 


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This entry was posted on September 27, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Nonresidential Fixed Investment in the DotCom Boom/Bust

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What did we think was happening back then, compared to what we know now?

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This entry was posted on September 25, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Is It Real?

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Rise in 10 year rates is mostly showing up in real rates, as proxied by TIPS.

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This entry was posted on September 24, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Diesel and Heating Oil Dependency, by State

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As share of total diesel+heating oil+gasoline consumption volume (a somewhat strange measure to me, but probably gets the idea across), from Nate Silver:

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This entry was posted on September 23, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Refiner Capacity Utilization at 97.5

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As of September 11.

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This entry was posted on September 23, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Manufacturing Employment Recovery Delayed?

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Here are several measures of manufacturing employment. ADP suggests continued deterioration, while QCEW (through March) fell as official employment rose.

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This entry was posted on September 22, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

“The State of Working Wisconsin, 2026”

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From the High Road Strategy Center, an annual report:

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This entry was posted on September 22, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Gasoline and Diesel Report

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Data through yesterday:

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This entry was posted on September 22, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Anticipating the EIA Gasoline and Diesel Update

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According to AAA, regular gasoline is up 3.8% relative to a week ago, diesel up 4.5%.

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This entry was posted on September 21, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • Bond Yields: Two Pictures
  • Guest Contribution: “Oligarchy is a Symptom, Not the Cause”
  • Nonresidential Fixed Investment in the DotCom Boom/Bust
  • Is It Real?
  • Diesel and Heating Oil Dependency, by State

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 7.0 (describes  2026:Q1)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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