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Econbrowser

Analysis of current economic conditions and policy

The Cost of Mideast Oil

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Beyond Brent f.o.b. – from Anthony Chan, who answers a question I’ve long had:

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This entry was posted on November 13, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Peak Everyday Prices?

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Here is a overall picture, including PPI.

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This entry was posted on November 13, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel and Brent

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Prices on Monday:
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This entry was posted on November 12, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Commerce Bureau of Industry and Security Search Screenshot

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If you were curious:

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This entry was posted on November 12, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

CRFB Tracks the Administration’s Forecasts So You Don’t Have To

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It’s not pretty (CRFB):

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This entry was posted on November 12, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

“The Whites of Their Eyes”

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CEA Chair Phelan on the need for a 50 bps increase in the Fed funds rate, given the hot CPI readings today, contra Waller and Logan (Bloomberg):

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This entry was posted on November 10, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

CPI Upside Surprise

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High relative to Bloomberg consensus , +0.4% vs. +0.3% m/m for headline, +0.3 vs. +0.2% for core:

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This entry was posted on November 10, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Naval Deployment as of 11/9

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Theodore Roosevelt CSG en route, Boxer ARG nearing the region:

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This entry was posted on November 9, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Furman and FRB/US on the AI Boom’s Impact

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Jason Furman has put up a macro simulator based on the FRB/US model. Today, he traces out the model’s implications regarding the AI boom.

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This entry was posted on November 9, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

Feasible Cost of Living Reduction

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Today,  in “Democrats Promised to Fix the Economy. What Can They Really Do?” (WSJ), Grossman, Whalen and Bade argue that Democrats can do very little to lower the cost of living.

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This entry was posted on November 9, 2026 by Menzie Chinn.

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Authors

James D. Hamilton is Professor of Economics at the University of California, San Diego

Menzie Chinn is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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  • Menzie Chinn

Recent Posts

  • The Cost of Mideast Oil
  • Peak Everyday Prices?
  • Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel and Brent
  • Commerce Bureau of Industry and Security Search Screenshot
  • CRFB Tracks the Administration’s Forecasts So You Don’t Have To

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Current Indicators

Econbrowser faces the data: (since  April 30, 2026)

Econbrowser recession indicator index: 3.5 (describes  2026:Q2)

The most recent U.S. recession began in 2020:Q1 and ended in 2020:Q2

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